Opinion | The Economist Says Taiwan's Democracy Is Being Held Hostage. Is The West Protecting It, Or Demanding Submission?

2026-08-27 09:00
Taiwan's drone defense budget has become a central battleground between the ruling and opposition camps in the Legislative Yuan. (File photo, CNA)
Taiwan's drone defense budget has become a central battleground between the ruling and opposition camps in the Legislative Yuan. (File photo, CNA)

The Economist's recent piece "Taking Taiwan's democracy hostage" opens with a blunt question: how many young Taiwanese is Xi Jinping willing to shoot to take the island? From there it argues that self interested Taiwanese politicians are making the country steadily harder to govern, with China as the only real winner, and it walks through a scenario in which Beijing absorbs Taiwan without ever firing a shot, only to purge civil servants, force re-education and trap semiconductor engineers inside their own fabs to keep the industry running under new ownership.

Taiwan's drone defense budget has become a central battleground between the ruling and opposition camps in the Legislative Yuan. (File photo, CNA)
Taiwan's drone defense budget has become a central battleground between the ruling and opposition camps in the Legislative Yuan. (File photo, CNA)


The real message aimed at Western readers is that a bloodless handover would not mean peace. Absorbing a democratized society of 23 million people, most of whom have no wish to live under Beijing's rule, would likely still require political repression to hold together. That warning has merit. What deserves closer scrutiny is how the piece reads Taiwan's own politics along the way.

The Drone Fight Was Never About Whether, Only Who

The clearest example is Taiwan's NT$210 billion, roughly US$6.6 billion, plan to acquire 210,000 aerial and maritime drones. The Economist criticizes the opposition for blocking the procurement, calling it an act of dramatic self harm: China's threat is rising, Taiwan needs the drones, and the opposition is holding up the money, weakening the island's own defenses in the process.

That framing leaves out most of the story. The opposition Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party have not resisted building a drone fleet. They have proposed their own version, a six year, NT$240 billion plan that is actually larger than the ruling Democratic Progressive Party's proposal. The real fight is over how the money is structured, with the DPP wanting a special multi year budget and the opposition wanting it allocated annually through the regular budget process where the legislature retains oversight, and over who actually builds the drones.

Taiwan's NT$210 billion drone plan has become a flashpoint between the ruling and opposition camps, with the COBRA 312 and other domestically made drones central to the debate. (Photo courtesy of Ming Wang Hi-Tech)
Taiwan's NT$210 billion drone plan has become a flashpoint between the ruling and opposition camps, with the COBRA 312 and other domestically made drones central to the debate. (Photo courtesy of Ming Wang Hi-Tech)

A budget this size is also industrial policy, large enough to reshape Taiwan's next generation of defense manufacturing. Under DPP rule, a drone supply cluster has been taking shape around Chiayi and Tainan. The KMT wants the program to draw in Taichung's existing precision machinery, machine tool, motor and component suppliers instead. What The Economist compresses into "the KMT is blocking drones, so China benefits" is really a tangle of defense policy, industrial policy, regional interests and party competition, one that looks very different up close than it does from a distance.

Two Hundred And Ten Billion Is Not Small Change, So Since When Is Oversight Anti Democratic

NT$210 billion is a serious sum of public money, and in any democracy, a legislature scrutinizing that kind of spending is simply how the system is supposed to work. American lawmakers have shut down the federal government itself over budget disputes, cut presidential spending requests and reworked defense line items, and no one calls that a hostage taking of American democracy. Why does a Taiwanese legislature slowing down a bill with "defense" attached to it get read almost automatically as weakening Taiwan and helping China?

None of this means the opposition gets a pass. If a party claims to support defense spending while dragging out necessary military investment without a credible reason, that is a fair target for criticism. But whether a given delay is legitimate oversight or excessive obstruction should be judged case by case, not waved away simply because the policy touches China. If NT$210 billion cannot be questioned, what happens with the next NT$500 billion, or the one after that reaches a trillion? Does the legislature simply defer once the executive branch invokes national security?

Was Tsai Really A Better Negotiator? The Piece Skips A Different Legislature

The Economist also suggests President Lai Ching-te is more rigid than his predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, who it credits with a greater willingness to work with moderate voices inside the KMT. What that comparison leaves out is that Tsai and Lai have governed with entirely different legislatures beneath them.

Tsai Ing-wen inspected a former military prison turned drug rehabilitation center in New Taipei in July 2023. Her Democratic Progressive Party held a legislative majority throughout her presidency. (File photo, Yen Lin-yu)
Tsai Ing-wen inspected a former military prison turned drug rehabilitation center in New Taipei in July 2023. Her Democratic Progressive Party held a legislative majority throughout her presidency. (File photo, Yen Lin-yu)


Tsai took office in 2016 with the DPP holding 68 seats, and won reelection in 2020 with 61, an outright majority both terms. As long as she kept her own party in line, she never actually needed KMT votes to pass major legislation or budgets. Lai has just 51 seats, facing a legislature split three ways with the KMT holding 52 and the TPP 8. That is not a democracy malfunctioning. It is the outcome Taiwanese voters chose ballot by ballot in 2024, handing the presidency to the DPP while withholding a legislative majority from the same party.

The Economist Skips The Year That Explains Everything

What the piece leaves out almost entirely is the single year that best explains why cross party relations have curdled: 2025's mass recall campaign.

After the DPP lost its legislative majority in the 2024 election, the KMT and TPP used their combined numbers to push through legislative reforms and budget freezes. By 2025, that standoff escalated into a coordinated push to recall KMT district lawmakers en masse. DPP legislative caucus whip Ker Chien-ming publicly predicted that all 31 KMT legislators could ultimately be recalled, framing the campaign as retaliation against what he called a "blue, white and red" alliance with Beijing.

Legislator Ker Chien-ming, seen at the Legislative Yuan in July 2023, has described himself as the driving force behind Taiwan's 2025 mass recall campaign. (File photo, Ko Cheng-hui)
Legislator Ker Chien-ming, seen at the Legislative Yuan in July 2023, has described himself as the driving force behind Taiwan's 2025 mass recall campaign. (File photo, Ko Cheng-hui)

The result was the opposite of what its architects predicted. The first batch of 24 recall votes against KMT lawmakers failed outright on July 26, and a second batch of seven more was rejected on August 23. None of the 31 targeted KMT legislators lost their seats. The campaign did not change the makeup of the legislature, but it did leave the ruling and opposition camps far less willing to trust one another. From the KMT and TPP's vantage point, voters had already stripped the DPP of its majority in 2024, only for the DPP to respond in 2025 with a mass campaign aimed at reversing that outcome through recall votes, one in which "Chinese Communist collaborator" became a routine line of political attack. That history does not excuse every act of obstruction happening today, but any account of Taiwan's gridlock that skips over it is only reading half the story.

Why Now? What The Economist Really Wants The West To Hear

Even with these gaps, the timing of the piece is worth taking seriously. The Economist's readers are not Taiwanese voters. They are policymakers and foreign policy elites in Washington, London and Brussels, and the line most worth pausing on is this one: "Taiwan's political system is a deterrent."

That sentence signals a shift in what the West expects from Taiwan. Washington used to focus mainly on how many F-16s or missiles Taiwan was buying. Increasingly, the question is whether Taiwan's own political system could mobilize its budget, industry, energy grid, communications networks, reservists and civil defense fast enough if a war actually broke out. In other words, the West is no longer just testing Taiwan's military hardware. It is testing Taiwan's political reliability: can the ruling and opposition parties reach even a minimal consensus on defense? Can a major military investment survive a full decade without being reversed? Does policy flip every time power changes hands? These are fair questions, and Taiwan cannot simply wave them away.

Defending Democracy By Shrinking It

But the logic embedded in the piece, followed all the way through, becomes dangerous. China's threat is rising, so Taiwan must strengthen its defenses. The legislature blocking a defense budget weakens deterrence. Weakening deterrence increases the odds China eventually takes Taiwan. Follow that chain far enough and it collapses into a single equation: opposing the government's defense policy equals weakening Taiwan equals helping China.

Push that equation to its conclusion and "resisting China" becomes the ultimate test of political legitimacy. Defense budgets cannot be questioned. Cross strait policy cannot be challenged. National security legislation cannot be opposed, because any dissent can always be answered with the same line: Beijing would be the happiest with that outcome. That produces a genuine paradox. In the name of defending democracy, Taiwan would be asked to shrink it.

China's National People's Congress can pass major policy faster than Taiwan's Legislative Yuan, precisely because it faces no real opposition. What actually separates Taiwan from China was never the speed of government decision making. It is that Taiwan's decisions can be opposed, its budgets can be cut, its policies can be questioned, and its voters can vote the ruling party out at the next election, loud and messy and occasionally exhausting as that process can be. That messiness is the value, not a flaw to be engineered away.

Taiwan still has to prove it has the will to defend itself. But the West should understand that Taiwan is worth defending precisely because it remains a democracy that tolerates opposition, dissent, obstruction and the peaceful transfer of power. If "resisting China" ever becomes the single measure of political loyalty, if backing the government is treated as defending Taiwan and opposing it is treated as helping Beijing, then the first question worth asking is not how many missiles or drones remain in the arsenal. It is this: if defending against China requires Taiwan's democracy to keep retreating from itself, how is that outcome any different from the authoritarian era under Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石)? What, in the end, would be left of the democracy Taiwan is working so hard to protect? (Related: Exclusive | Taiwan Defense Chief: Drone Budget Deadlock Is Eroding Combat Power Latest

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