U.S. President Donald Trump's "America First" policy is pushing hard to bring manufacturing back to the United States. (File photo, AP)
Globalization has not ended but is undergoing a pendulum correction after advanced semiconductor manufacturing became too concentrated in Taiwan, MediaTek Chief Executive Rick Tsai (蔡力行) said, contending that localized manufacturing mandates and regionalized supply chains do not signal a structural reversal.
Tsai, speaking on the podcastA Bit Personal with Jodi Shelton, said the semiconductor industry was built on cross-border specialization spanning design, fabrication, equipment, materials and end markets, and the world would not revert to the near-autarkic production models of decades past even as the United States aggressively promotes domestic fab construction.
Taiwan Strait Risk Unchanged By Incremental Capacity Shifts
Even if Taiwan's share of advanced semiconductor manufacturing were to fall from above 90% to above 80%, the fundamental nature of the supply risk would not materially change, Tsai said. Conflict prevention, rather than capacity redistribution, remains the more important objective, he said.
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Tsai said he personally did not expect a severe confrontation over Taiwan to materialize, and expressed hope that leaders in the United States, Taiwan and China would maintain composure and find space for cooperation, given the scale of global challenges that remain unaddressed.
Taiwan's Rise Product Of Policy, Timing And Workforce
Taiwan's current position in global semiconductors was the product of layered historical outcomes — government policy, timing and workforce resilience working in combination — rather than the emergence of any single company, Tsai said. The island's industrial trajectory ran from export-oriented textiles and footwear in the 1960s and 1970s, through a technology pivot following the oil crises, to the formal launch of a semiconductor program in 1976, he said.
Taiwan's textile industry once played a foundational role in driving the island's economic takeoff.
One decision in particular shaped the industry's subsequent trajectory: the selection of CMOS technology during Taiwan's early RCA technology transfer program, Tsai said. CMOS was not the most intuitive or obviously safe choice at the time but went on to become the dominant architecture in modern semiconductors, and that single technical decision effectively determined Taiwan's industrial direction for the following decades, he said. Taiwan's semiconductor success was therefore not a matter of luck but of making the right call at a critical juncture, Tsai said.
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Execution Focus, Not Innate Talent, Behind Competitive Edge
Taiwan's advantage stemmed from directional alignment and execution focus rather than any inherent superiority in talent, Tsai said, explicitly rejecting the notion that Taiwan succeeded because its people were the most intelligent. The United States had an extraordinary concentration of intelligent people, he noted, but that intelligence was often dispersed across too many competing directions, while Taiwan's resource constraints forced concentration on a small number of critical objectives sustained over long periods, he said.
Taiwan also produced large numbers of engineering graduates who trained abroad — often in the United States — accumulated industry experience and returned home with both technical capability and broader perspective, Tsai said. A working style that combined discipline with flexibility, particularly suited to collaboration with Silicon Valley entrepreneurs, was equally important, he added.
Taiwan's deep pool of engineering talent has been a key source of competitive strength for TSMC and other technology manufacturers globally. (Photo: Yen Lin-yu)
Export Controls May Catalyze China Self-Sufficiency
When a society with a large market and a large pool of capable people encounters external restrictions, some degree of unintended consequence is not surprising, Tsai said. Restrictions do not necessarily slow a competitor — they may instead catalyze a stronger drive toward self-sufficiency, and misreading likely outcomes is easy when the analysis lacks grounding in another society's culture, policy logic and market structure, he said.
Industrial Depth Cannot Be Replicated Quickly
Individual companies are in no position to reverse the broader political trajectory through commercial means alone, with the direction of travel ultimately set by policy and political leadership, Tsai said. Executives nonetheless retain an obligation to maintain as open and cross-cultural an understanding as possible, rather than viewing the world solely through their own vantage point, he added.
What remains genuinely difficult to replicate is the industrial depth Taiwan built through decades of sound technical choices, consistent policy execution, talent repatriation and sustained organizational discipline, Tsai said. That accumulated resilience, more than any individual company or policy program, is why Taiwan's semiconductor success has proven resistant to imitation, he said.
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